28 Jul · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1485
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lipeiko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1567
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Lipeiko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)