28 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1633
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kryshtal
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1629
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kryshtal
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H41-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.