28 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1637
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Volkov
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1580
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Kovshun covers set handicap as underdog 65% (66)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H44-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-29)