28 Jul · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1754
FormWLWLW
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Ponomarenko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2175
FormWWWWW
14%
86%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~68 pts
0-3
45%
1-3
27%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+421
H2H137-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+421)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (137-11)