28 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VG
🇺🇦Vojtech Grubr
ELO 1509
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Grubr
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1496
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Grubr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H20-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.