28 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VG
🇺🇦Vojtech Grubr
ELO 1509
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Grubr
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1508
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 67% (139)
Fair odds · Grubr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H30-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.