28 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1520
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Senk
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Senk
ELO 1608
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
🌟Senk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (56)
Fair odds · Senk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)