28 Jul · 12:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1547
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Osadchyi
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1559
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (149)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H47-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.