28 Jul · 11:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1576
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mrykh
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1538
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Derevianko🌟Mrykh rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (64)
Fair odds · Mrykh
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H27-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.