28 Jul · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1625
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dobias
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1549
FormLWLWW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Burylov🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (141)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H21-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-19)