28 Jul · 11:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LB
🇺🇦Lennart Bergauer
ELO 1484
FormWWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Adam
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1576
FormWWWLL
40%
60%
🌟Adam rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (47)
Fair odds · Adam
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)