28 Jul · 15:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1499
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hel
VH
🇺🇦Valerii Hel
ELO 1506
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Hel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (46)
Fair odds · Hel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.