28 Jul · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
A1
🇺🇦Andrii Sydorenko 1979
ELO 1495
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Leonov
VL
🇺🇦Viktor Leonov
ELO 1565
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟1979 stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Leonov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)