28 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1552
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Maltsev
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1568
FormLWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 30% · 3.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H5-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.