28 Jul · 15:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1602
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1653
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marushchak🌟Yurkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (125)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H74-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (74-47)