28 Jul · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1653
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Yurkov
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Seliuchenko
ELO 1580
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Seliuchenko🌟Yurkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (125)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)