28 Jul · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ID
🇺🇦Ihor Dubinin
ELO 1530
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Shulhachyk
PS
🇺🇦Pavlo Shulhachyk
ELO 1613
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
🌟Shulhachyk stays under total as favourite 62% (40)
Fair odds · Shulhachyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H16-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-15)