28 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OH
🇺🇦Ondrej Horak
ELO 1531
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chadima
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1550
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Chadima
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H3-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.