28 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1757
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chuhai
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1721
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H41-82
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.