28 Jul · 15:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1538
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1574
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Tebenko🌟Storozhenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (127)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H24-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.