28 Jul · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
HB
🇺🇦Hennadii Buianover
ELO 1415
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lukianevych
VL
🇺🇦Valerii Lukianevych
ELO 1496
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
🌟Lukianevych rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (39)
Fair odds · Lukianevych
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H54-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-26)