28 Jul · 15:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1555
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pohorilyi
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1453
FormLWWLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H28-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-12)