29 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1529
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Salivonchyk
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1516
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
🌟Salivonchyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Salivonchyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 23% · 4.27· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.