29 Jul · 07:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1542
FormLWLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Rodin
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1673
FormWLLLL
36%
64%
🌟Kovalchuk covers set handicap as underdog 62% (96)
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~73 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)