29 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1515
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1545
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H12-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.