29 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1561
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Storozhenko
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1540
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Tebenko🌟Storozhenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (129)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H24-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.