29 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1462
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1479
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Klymenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (73)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.