29 Jul · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1427
FormLLLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Shulhachyk
PS
🇺🇦Pavlo Shulhachyk
ELO 1606
FormWLWLW
32%
68%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 73% (49)
Fair odds · Shulhachyk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~72 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+179
H2H18-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-11)