29 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1471
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zvolynskyi
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1427
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 73% (49)
Fair odds · Zvolynskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H25-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-17)