29 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1453
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Prylepa
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1515
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kuzmenko🌟Prylepa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (105)
Fair odds · Prylepa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H48-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-24)