29 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1467
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1479
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Khalenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (60)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H11-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.