29 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1508
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurylenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1473
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H65-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.