29 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1433
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Skhabitskiy
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1524
FormWLWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+91
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)