29 Jul · 09:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1453
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1545
FormWLLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H23-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-22)