29 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1515
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Prylepa
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1508
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Prylepa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (105)
Fair odds · Prylepa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H57-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.