29 Jul · 08:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1551
FormLWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Pohorilyi
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1427
FormLLLWL
63%
37%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 73% (49)
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~72 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+124
H2H20-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-16)