29 Jul · 07:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1423
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Skhabitskiy
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1524
FormWLWLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H21-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-16)