29 Jul · 07:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1427
FormLLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Sideltsev
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Sideltsev
ELO 1556
FormWWLWW
37%
63%
⚡ Cover lean · Sideltsev🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 73% (49)
Fair odds · Sideltsev
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~72 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H26-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-4)