29 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1508
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1545
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H25-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.