29 Jul · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1433
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1479
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H24-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-21)