29 Jul · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1551
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shulhachyk
PS
🇺🇦Pavlo Shulhachyk
ELO 1606
FormWLWLW
44%
56%
🌟Pohorilyi stays under total as underdog 66% (44)
Fair odds · Shulhachyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H20-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-17)