29 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1524
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skhabitskiy
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1479
FormWWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)