29 Jul · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1485
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kryvoshyi
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1516
FormWWWWL
47%
53%
🌟Kryvoshyi stays under total as favourite 74% (27)
Fair odds · Kryvoshyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H36-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.