29 Jul · 06:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1453
FormLWLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Hubenko
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1657
FormWWWWL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+204
H2H41-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-10)