29 Jul · 11:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1520
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1561
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Storozhenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (129)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.