29 Jul · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1473
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Styranets
MS
🇺🇦Myhailo Styranets
ELO 1558
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Oliynyk stays under total as underdog 68% (40)
Fair odds · Styranets
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~72 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H10-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-2)