29 Jul · 12:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1473
FormLWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Hubenko
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1657
FormWWWWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H42-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-5)