29 Jul · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1485
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Styranets
MS
🇺🇦Myhailo Styranets
ELO 1558
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Styranets
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)