29 Jul · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1542
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Maltsev
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1585
FormWWLLL
45%
55%
🌟Kovalchuk covers set handicap as underdog 62% (96)
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H5-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)