29 Jul · 07:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VH
🇺🇦Valerii Hel
ELO 1489
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hel
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1485
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Hel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (46)
Fair odds · Hel
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.